Showing posts with label Trading Idea. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trading Idea. Show all posts

Friday, March 26, 2010

Get out of Silver shorts… Target Hit

Suggested here: http://dhanvarshagrp.blogspot.com/2010/03/short-silver-target-below-1685.html

Target was below 16.8 then later downgraded to 16.5 … its trading at 16.55 mark and I see it bottoming out near 16.45…  which is near 10,000pips or $1000 on an investment of just $300… 300+% profit in 5 days.

Book out near 16.5-16.45 and go long in Silver with a Stop @ 16.35 for a target of 17+ in coming days…

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vikas verma

Thursday, March 25, 2010

Sell RPOWER for a big fall

Sell RPOWER or BUY 150PA for April @ 6-7
Downside Target: 142.98 <-> 141.36 <-> 139.05 <-> 136.11 <-> 132.38
Stop is 2% higher from today's high ie.. 153

Chart


Tuesday, March 23, 2010

Put Options for April Series

Buy these dirt cheap Put Options for April series

ACC 950PA @ 29 for April

AMBUJACEM 115PA @ 2.8 for April

BHARTIARTL 300PA @ 8.5 for April

CIPLA 340PA @ 11 for April

Friday, March 19, 2010

Monday, March 15, 2010

Last Minute trade… Buy Infosystch 2650PA for March Series @ 19

Honey Honey.... oh my Sugar...

I do not know how overall Sugar sector is going to perform in coming weeks but I certainly see two stocks from Sugar pack to completed its correction and most likely about to jump back.

Here are my Trades for the next 6-8 weeks.. I expect first target to hit within next 2-3 weeks itself

Buy BAJAJHIND around 148, Stop 129, Targets 167,182,193,205,221,242
Buy BALRAMCHIN around 93, Stop 87, Targets 109,119,128,137,149,165


Charts



Friday, March 12, 2010

Buy BALRAMCHIN @ CMP … ie. 93

Balramchin should have completed its correction cycle today and can give a good return in couple of months. 

Buy @ current price of 93 and look for 125+ levels.. may be 132 in next 2-4 months..

No stop loss given as it’s a good stock and should outperform in coming months… hold it with a horizon of 6 months.

 

Reason behind the cover short/go long in BALRAMCHIN

 

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vikas verma

Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Short Silver Spot – XAG/USD

Silver is looking bearish to me for a target of 17.25-17.18 in Hourly chart. On a Daily chart it is looking bearish for a retest of below 15 levels.. may be 14.55

 

 

See how the short went.. instant profit… that is Dhanvarsha :)

 

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Monday, March 8, 2010

Market is all about waves…

Waves exists almost always in the charts and this is so satisfactory when you are able to spot them and profit from them.

See the video of Silver’s SPOT chart where there were 2 waves one after another one bullish then second bearish in the 15minute chart

The bearish wave is still pending for its target… I will update you once it hit the target..

Do let me know if that is helpful to you or if you have any doubts.

 

Update: See what happened after 2 bars

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vikas verma

Sunday, March 7, 2010

Nifty’s Prediction for Next 3 Months

Since everyone is talking about bearish levels so I would start this with a bullish tone for a change.

Nifty is going to touch 5450 by 27th May 2010

but first 4650-4700 within by April first week then 5475-5500 by last week of May or first week of June


Watch Video for more detail…

 

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Friday, March 5, 2010

Buy Nifty 5100PE , CMP: 85 , Target 4990 in Spot, Stop Loss: 5210 in Spot

 

Buy Nifty 5100PE , CMP: 85 , Target 4990 in Spot, Stop Loss: 5210 in Spot

Or atleast hedge your Nifty Longs by adding Nifty Puts.

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Expecting better than expectations – US NFP Numbers

Current waves in DJI, SPX and even in NASDAQ suggest atleast 5-6% cut from the highs.
DOW & JONES

Upside Target: 10635, Downside Target: 10040

 


S&P 500

Upside Target: 1138, Downside Target: 1075


NASDAQ

Upside Target: 2318 , Downside Target: 2200

 

Nifty : Upside Target: 5190 , Downside Target: 4835

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Hey yaa everyone…

I have been busy lately with my personal life and was not trading actively. I wont be trading quite as active for some more time but will be tracking the market when I get some time.

I have been following Gold quite closely and it may be possibly done with the rally and looking for a pull back… maybe a 100% pull back to make a double bottom.

This is the weekly chart setup and if we consider the lower line as target then see how perfect was the target… the estimated price at arrival should not exceed more than 1145 and yesterday it made a high of 1145.18 ( I was expecting a 10% rally from the lows and that is almost over 9.65%)

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Now look at this Daily chart and why I see pain in Long Gold situation…

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I see it max making an attempt to touch 1155 and then a possible double bottom… argh.. that’s gonna hurt and I already booked my longs and added few shorts at 1143.. I would be a ruthless bear on a breach of 1130

 

Now let’s look at the S&P 500 Index and see it is also making a bearish wave pattern… although the volume was not great in last two days which is very much needed .. maybe they want to make a final attempt to go short near 1140 levels.

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Similar pattern in Nasdaq Composite… be cautious and atleast book profit on longs or hedge your positions.

 

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vikas verma

Thursday, February 18, 2010

Trade Update: What happened to Gold, USD, & S&P 500

Today was another green day for US as the indices closed around 0.5% in green. Gold had a good run in the morning but later gave up most of the gains, not only for today but half the gains of yesterday which is expected as it broke out of the channel.

Let the pictures do talking, here is a chart of Gold… remember I have been suggesting it since $1050 levels.

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Now there could be two stops… one stop could be at the pink line which does not appear to be the case if we look at the volume and if we are able to break past the pink line then it should inch toward the blue line and make a new all time high in Gold.

Ok, so what about USD… it is playing hide n seek with the ‘sweet zone’ and today once again went back in sweet zone to close near $80.5… which is good for bears to short again or add more shorts. Unless we see a close above 80.85 which was the last high, the momentum remains in the hands of bears.

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Ohk.. lets look at S&P 500 chart and why this dead cat was bouncing.. yes it is a dead cat and no surprise if we see a gap down tomorrow in S&P 500. Look how it made a bullish wave which completed its target today… next is what? Possible 100% pullback of this rally and go below 1040.

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I am keeping my call to stay short and add more shorts in Nifty, S&P, Dow and USD.. while stay long in Gold… we should further see a good rally in Gold.

 

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Monday, February 15, 2010

Nifty Future… Positional Call

 

Sell Nifty FUT for a target of 4780 intraday , If 4770-4765 holds, then I am expecting a bounce to 4922 above 4930 expect 5100-5200 range... that makes it positional as well

 

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Friday, February 12, 2010

Trade Update… US Down 1.5%

Related Blogs:
http://dhanvarshagrp.blogspot.com/2010/02/gains-only-gains-in-4800ce.html
http://dhanvarshagrp.blogspot.com/2010/02/warning-danger-ahead.html
http://dhanvarshagrp.blogspot.com/2010/02/us-market-is-looking-for-another-3-4.html
I warned you in the last India session , while we were still open to book 100% out of 4800CE and buy 4700PE.. I also suggested that US markets are going for a 3% cut first and then even further…
Watch us markets where they opened…
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Hope you picked the 4700PE… as Nifty is going below 4500 this time… you going to get lots of Dhanvarsha… enjoy!!!

Thursday, February 11, 2010

Warning… Danger ahead!!!!

Do not be over optimistic about the recovery that we seen today. Nifty is possibly headed towards below 4500 mark very soon… use this as caution and pick some 4500PE for the month of February

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